Table 1 Mean infectious times and fatality for various sets of data.

From: A novel indicator in epidemic monitoring through a case study of Ebola in West Africa (2014–2016)

Guinea

Sierra Leone

Index

Date 2015

Mean infectious time

Fatality

Index

Date 2015

Mean infectious time

Fatality

120

5/24

17.79

0.6607

120

6/21

18.63

0.3037

140

7/3

14.25

0.6580

130

7/10

15.09

0.3036

160

7/31

12.42

0.6580

140

7/24

12.42

0.3041

180

9/4

11.26

0.6583

150

8/7

10.14

0.3050

200

10/16

10.46

0.6586

160

8/25

8.32

0.3062

220

11/17

10.39

0.6585

170

9/14

7.16

0.3078

240

12/18

9.90

0.6589

180

10/2

7.49

0.3098

  1. The index represents the reported data number starting on March 25, 2014 for Guinea and May 27, 2014 for Sierra Leone. The mean infectious time \(\left(\upgamma \right)\) for Guinea does not vary much after the 200th data point of October 16, 2015. The simulation uses 10.46 days as the mean infectious time. For Sierra Leone, the mean infectious time appears to decrease for a large data set but then starts to increase after index 170. Considering the mean infectious time in Guinea, it is picked at the index 150 where it is estimated by 10.14 days. The fatality rates in Guinea are between 65 and 66%, and those in Sierra Leone are between 30 and 31%.
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