Table 5 Changes per year and trends of the Daily Temperature Range (DTR), Growing Degree Days (GDD), and Growing Season Length (GSL) for observed (1989–2014) and two future periods: FP1 (2026–2050) and FP2 (2051–2075), under two shared socioeconomic pathways SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5.

From: Future projections of temperature-related indices in Prince Edward Island using ensemble average of three CMIP6 models

Stations

 

DTR (°C/year)

GDD (Degree-days/year)

GSL (days/year)

OBS

FP1

FP2

OBS

FP1

FP2

OBS

FP1

FP

SSP2-4.5

SSP5-8.5

SSP2-4.5

SSP2-4.5

SSP2-4.5

SSP5-8.5

SSP2-4.5

SSP5-8.5

SSP2-4.5

SSP5-8.5

SSP2-4.5

SSP5-8.5

East Point

Observed

↑0.08a

    

↑2.90

    

↑0.88c

    

NORESM2-MM

 

↑0.07c

↑0.07c

↑0.08b

↑0.07b

 

↑2.23

↑10.36

↑4.34

↑9.49c

 

↑1.38

↑2.39c

↑1.40c

↑0.37

MPI-ESM1.2-HR

 

↑0.08c

↑0.09b

↑0.06a

↑0.09c

 

↑17.66a

↑11.25c

↑7.94

↑14.63c

 

↑1.23

↑1.73b

↑0.58

↑0.63

CanESM5

 

↑0.07b

↑0.09c

↑0.08b

↑0.09a

 

↑13.18c

↑13.69c

↑10.32

↑16.75b

 

↑0.63

↑0.92

↑1.39c

↑1.67a

Ensemble-Average

 

↑0.08b

↑0.09b

↑0.08a

↑0.09b

 

↑12.93b

↑12.13a

↑11.02c

↑15.58a

 

↑1.88b

↑0.98

↑2.04a

↑1.59c

Charlottetown

Observed

↑0.03b

    

↑5.78

    

↑0.72c

    

NORESM2-MM

 

↑0.01

↑0.01

↑0.02

↑0.02

 

↑0.64

↑6.69

↑3.30

↑4.78

 

↑0.66

↑1.25

↑1.38a

0.00

MPI-ESM1.2-HR

 

↑0.02

↑0.02

↑0.02

↑0.02

 

↑16.10c

↑11.26

↑6.74

↑11.65c

 

↑0.54

↑1.27

↑1.00

↑0.94

CanESM5

 

↑0.01

↑0.03

↑0.02

↑0.05b

 

↑8.42a

↑10.92c

↑7.93

↑17.13c

 

↑0.30

↑0.90

↑0.63

↑0.67

Ensemble-Average

 

↑0.01

↑0.02

↑0.03

↑0.04a

 

↑10.66a

↑10.17b

↑6.59

↑14.48a

 

↑0.33

↑1.32

↑1.14c

↑1.27c

Summerside

Observed

↑0.01

    

↑3.49

    

↑0.09

    

NORESM2-MM

 

↑0.03c

↑0.04c

↑0.02c

↑0.04b

 

↑2.36

↑7.39

↑2.00

↑8.51

 

↑1.32

↑0.09

↑2.32c

↑0.03

MPI-ESM1.2-HR

 

↑0.04

↑0.03

↑0.05c

↑0.03c

 

v11.74

↑7.61

↑5.38

↑11.43c

 

↑1.00

↑1.27

↑0.07

↑0.61

CanESM5

 

↑0.05a

↑0.05a

↑0.06a

↑0.06a

 

↑6.79

↑7.51a

↑5.42

↑13.07c

 

↑0.49

↑1.17c

↑0.44

↑1.35

Ensemble-Average

 

↑0.04b

↑0.04b

↑0.04a

↑0.05a

 

↑6.33

↑7.78c

↑4.29

↑12.05b

 

↑0.18

↑1.72a

↑1.38

↑2.31b

North Cape

Observed

↑0.06a

    

↑2.73

    

↑0.50c

    

NORESM2-MM

 

↑0.07

↑0.08

↑0.05

↑0.05

 

↑0.88

↑6.96

↑5.41

↑9.24

 

↑0.20

↑0.87

↑0.92

↑0.74

MPI-ESM1.2-HR

 

↑0.08

↑0.09

↑0.05

↑0.08

 

↑13.42c

↑7.02

↑4.76

↑12.59c

 

↑0.73

↑0.29

↑0.76

↑0.54

CanESM5

 

↑0.06

↑0.07

↑0.05

↑0.07

 

↑6.16

↑8.06

↑4.94

↑12.70

 

↑0.17

↑0.86

↑0.37

↑0.33

Ensemble-Average

 

↑0.07

↑0.08

↑0.07

↑0.07

 

↑9.64b

↑9.40

↑5.41

↑11.71b

 

↑0.71

↑1.37a

↑0.42

↑2.20b

  1. ↑ Increasing trend, ↓ Decreasing trend, aSignificant at 0.001 level (99.9%); bSignificant at 0.01 level (99%); cSignificant at 0.05 level (95%).