Table 5 Changes per year and trends of the Daily Temperature Range (DTR), Growing Degree Days (GDD), and Growing Season Length (GSL) for observed (1989–2014) and two future periods: FP1 (2026–2050) and FP2 (2051–2075), under two shared socioeconomic pathways SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5.
Stations | DTR (°C/year) | GDD (Degree-days/year) | GSL (days/year) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OBS | FP1 | FP2 | OBS | FP1 | FP2 | OBS | FP1 | FP | ||||||||
SSP2-4.5 | SSP5-8.5 | SSP2-4.5 | SSP2-4.5 | SSP2-4.5 | SSP5-8.5 | SSP2-4.5 | SSP5-8.5 | SSP2-4.5 | SSP5-8.5 | SSP2-4.5 | SSP5-8.5 | |||||
East Point | Observed | ↑0.08a | ↑2.90 | ↑0.88c | ||||||||||||
NORESM2-MM | ↑0.07c | ↑0.07c | ↑0.08b | ↑0.07b | ↑2.23 | ↑10.36 | ↑4.34 | ↑9.49c | ↑1.38 | ↑2.39c | ↑1.40c | ↑0.37 | ||||
MPI-ESM1.2-HR | ↑0.08c | ↑0.09b | ↑0.06a | ↑0.09c | ↑17.66a | ↑11.25c | ↑7.94 | ↑14.63c | ↑1.23 | ↑1.73b | ↑0.58 | ↑0.63 | ||||
CanESM5 | ↑0.07b | ↑0.09c | ↑0.08b | ↑0.09a | ↑13.18c | ↑13.69c | ↑10.32 | ↑16.75b | ↑0.63 | ↑0.92 | ↑1.39c | ↑1.67a | ||||
Ensemble-Average | ↑0.08b | ↑0.09b | ↑0.08a | ↑0.09b | ↑12.93b | ↑12.13a | ↑11.02c | ↑15.58a | ↑1.88b | ↑0.98 | ↑2.04a | ↑1.59c | ||||
Charlottetown | Observed | ↑0.03b | ↑5.78 | ↑0.72c | ||||||||||||
NORESM2-MM | ↑0.01 | ↑0.01 | ↑0.02 | ↑0.02 | ↑0.64 | ↑6.69 | ↑3.30 | ↑4.78 | ↑0.66 | ↑1.25 | ↑1.38a | 0.00 | ||||
MPI-ESM1.2-HR | ↑0.02 | ↑0.02 | ↑0.02 | ↑0.02 | ↑16.10c | ↑11.26 | ↑6.74 | ↑11.65c | ↑0.54 | ↑1.27 | ↑1.00 | ↑0.94 | ||||
CanESM5 | ↑0.01 | ↑0.03 | ↑0.02 | ↑0.05b | ↑8.42a | ↑10.92c | ↑7.93 | ↑17.13c | ↑0.30 | ↑0.90 | ↑0.63 | ↑0.67 | ||||
Ensemble-Average | ↑0.01 | ↑0.02 | ↑0.03 | ↑0.04a | ↑10.66a | ↑10.17b | ↑6.59 | ↑14.48a | ↑0.33 | ↑1.32 | ↑1.14c | ↑1.27c | ||||
Summerside | Observed | ↑0.01 | ↑3.49 | ↑0.09 | ||||||||||||
NORESM2-MM | ↑0.03c | ↑0.04c | ↑0.02c | ↑0.04b | ↑2.36 | ↑7.39 | ↑2.00 | ↑8.51 | ↑1.32 | ↑0.09 | ↑2.32c | ↑0.03 | ||||
MPI-ESM1.2-HR | ↑0.04 | ↑0.03 | ↑0.05c | ↑0.03c | v11.74 | ↑7.61 | ↑5.38 | ↑11.43c | ↑1.00 | ↑1.27 | ↑0.07 | ↑0.61 | ||||
CanESM5 | ↑0.05a | ↑0.05a | ↑0.06a | ↑0.06a | ↑6.79 | ↑7.51a | ↑5.42 | ↑13.07c | ↑0.49 | ↑1.17c | ↑0.44 | ↑1.35 | ||||
Ensemble-Average | ↑0.04b | ↑0.04b | ↑0.04a | ↑0.05a | ↑6.33 | ↑7.78c | ↑4.29 | ↑12.05b | ↑0.18 | ↑1.72a | ↑1.38 | ↑2.31b | ||||
North Cape | Observed | ↑0.06a | ↑2.73 | ↑0.50c | ||||||||||||
NORESM2-MM | ↑0.07 | ↑0.08 | ↑0.05 | ↑0.05 | ↑0.88 | ↑6.96 | ↑5.41 | ↑9.24 | ↑0.20 | ↑0.87 | ↑0.92 | ↑0.74 | ||||
MPI-ESM1.2-HR | ↑0.08 | ↑0.09 | ↑0.05 | ↑0.08 | ↑13.42c | ↑7.02 | ↑4.76 | ↑12.59c | ↑0.73 | ↑0.29 | ↑0.76 | ↑0.54 | ||||
CanESM5 | ↑0.06 | ↑0.07 | ↑0.05 | ↑0.07 | ↑6.16 | ↑8.06 | ↑4.94 | ↑12.70 | ↑0.17 | ↑0.86 | ↑0.37 | ↑0.33 | ||||
Ensemble-Average | ↑0.07 | ↑0.08 | ↑0.07 | ↑0.07 | ↑9.64b | ↑9.40 | ↑5.41 | ↑11.71b | ↑0.71 | ↑1.37a | ↑0.42 | ↑2.20b | ||||