Table 1 Multistate models for survival (S), detection probability (p), migration probability (Psi) for tributary spawning flannelmouth sucker (Catostomus latipinnis) in the San Juan River, USA.

From: Individual return patterns of spawning flannelmouth sucker (Catostomus latipinnis) to a desert river tributary

Equations

npar

AICc

DeltaAICc

weight

S(~ time:state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

61

13,701.16

0

0.643

S(~ time:state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

69

13,703.29

2.13

0.222

S(~ time:state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

60

13,704.92

3.76

0.098

S(~ time:state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

62

13,708.16

7.00

0.019

S(~ time:state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

88

13,708.98

7.82

0.013

S(~ time:state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

80

13,711.16

10.00

0.004

S(~ time:state × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

99

13,742.45

41.29

0.000

S(~ time:state × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

91

13,747.91

46.75

0.000

S(~ time:state × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

90

13,750.12

48.96

0.000

S(~ time:state × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

118

13,750.29

49.13

0.000

S(~ time:state × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

92

13,753.66

52.50

0.000

S(~ time:state × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

110

13,755.85

54.69

0.000

S(~ sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

42

13,768.36

67.20

0.000

S(~ tag event × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

44

13,769.41

68.25

0.000

S(~ tag event × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

44

13,770.22

69.06

0.000

S(~ sex × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

44

13,770.63

69.47

0.000

S(~ state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

42

13,771.06

69.90

0.000

S(~ tag event)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time)

42

13,772.04

70.88

0.000

S(~ sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

61

13,774.56

73.40

0.000

S(~ tag event × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

63

13,776.18

75.02

0.000

S(~ sex × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

63

13,777.37

76.21

0.000

S(~ sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

53

13,777.41

76.25

0.000

S(~ state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

61

13,777.87

76.71

0.000

S(~ tag event × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

63

13,777.97

76.81

0.000

S(~ tag event)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × year)

61

13,778.14

76.98

0.000

S(~ tag event × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

55

13,778.66

77.50

0.000

S(~ tag event)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

53

13,779.11

77.95

0.000

S(~ sex × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

55

13,780.20

79.04

0.000

S(~ state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

53

13,780.88

79.72

0.000

S(~ tag event × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ time × sex)

55

13,782.51

81.35

0.000

S(~ tag event × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

37

13,786.17

85.01

0.000

S(~ sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

34

13,786.69

85.53

0.000

S(~ sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

33

13,786.76

85.60

0.000

S(~ tag event)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

35

13,787.96

86.80

0.000

S(~ sex × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

37

13,788.05

86.89

0.000

S(~ state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

35

13,788.38

87.22

0.000

S(~ tag event × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

35

13,788.49

87.33

0.000

S(~ tag event × sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

36

13,788.57

87.41

0.000

S(~ tag event × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

37

13,788.78

87.62

0.000

S(~ tag event)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

34

13,790.12

88.96

0.000

S(~ sex × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

35

13,790.19

89.03

0.000

S(~ tag event)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

33

13,790.34

89.18

0.000

S(~ state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

33

13,790.51

89.35

0.000

S(~ tag event × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

36

13,790.59

89.43

0.000

S(~ tag event × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ state)

35

13,790.97

89.81

0.000

S(~ sex)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ year)

35

13,800.70

99.54

0.000

S(~ state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

34

13,843.46

142.30

0.000

S(~ sex × state)p(~ time:state)Psi(~ sex)

36

13,857.29

156.13

0.000

  1. Variables considered were sex, tagging cohort, tagging event, state, and time.
  2. Npar number of parameters, AICc Akaike’s information criteria for small sample sizes, DeltaAICc change in AICc, weight support for model compared to others in the table.
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