Table 16 Overall performance of the models.

From: Enhanced forecasting of rice price and production in Malaysia using novel multivariate fuzzy time series models

Model

MAPE

Forecast

95% C.I

RE

VAR

0.233043

1218.75

(866.209, 1571.29)

100

Proposed (Fuzzy Models)

VAR (Specified Parameters)

TFN

0.204328

974.002

(495.031, 1452.97)

114.053

TrFN

0.095579

892.960

(382.104, 1403.82)

243.822

VAR (Optimized Parameters)

TFN

0.160489

974.002

(495.031, 1452.97)

145.208

TrFN

0.063558

916.975

(396.685, 1437.27)

366.662