Figure 4
From: Tracing human influence on rising surface air temperature in Venezuela
The past, present, and projected future trends in surface air temperature over Venezuela are depicted in the graph. It shows the annual mean surface air temperature is calculated by averaging data from different climate models simulations from 1850 to 2100, relative to the pre-Industrial period of 1850–1900. (a) Future projection scenarios from various Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are represented for the period 2006–2100. The shaded region indicates the standard deviation of the ensemble mean of CMIP5 models. Additionally, observed data sets from HadCRUT5 (1850–2005) are plotted in black and red, respectively. (b–e) The future projections of Anthropogenic, Anthropogenic Aerosols, Greenhouse gases, and Natural forcings respectively under SSP245 of CMIP6, which is similar to RCP4.5 of CMIP5.
