Table 2 Decomposition of percentage changes in incidence (1992–2019) and incidence-based mortality (1993–2019) due to esophageal cancer.

From: Esophageal cancer trends in the US from 1992 to 2019 with projections to 2044 using SEER data

 

value (n)

Changes during the study period, %

1992 (1993 in mortality)

2019

Total change

Change due to population aging

Change due to population growth

Change due to epidemiological change

Incidence

 Esophageal cancer

1124

1709

52.04

41.56

29.97

− 19.49

 Esophageal adenocarcinoma

430

1135

163.94

55.39

40.75

67.8

 Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

628

502

− 20.12

32.78

23.04

− 75.94

Incidence-based mortality

 Esophageal cancer

829

1612

94.42

47.37

32.3

14.74

 Esophageal adenocarcinoma

290

1004

246.07

64.53

46.16

135.38

 Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

437

461

5.49

37.32

24.16

− 56