Table 3 Average annual gross margins and direct economic impact (in million €) of Spodoptera frugiperda on grain maize production in Europe under different yield loss scenarios.
From: Migration extent and potential economic impact of the fall armyworm in Europe
Gross margin (million €) | Direct economic impact (million €) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Member state | Baseline | Best case | Moderate case | Worst case | Best case | Moderate case | Worst case |
Austria | 78 | 78 | 74 | 63 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 15.2 |
Bulgaria | 217 | 216 | 204 | 168 | 1.0 | 12.8 | 48.7 |
Croatia | 52 | 51 | 44 | 21 | 0.6 | 8.0 | 30.7 |
France | 585 | 582 | 540 | 412 | 3.5 | 45.3 | 172.9 |
Germany | 152 | 152 | 146 | 130 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 22.6 |
Greece | 102 | 101 | 83 | 29 | 1.5 | 19.1 | 72.8 |
Hungary | 423 | 421 | 402 | 342 | 1.6 | 21.2 | 81.1 |
Italy | 496 | 490 | 427 | 234 | 5.3 | 68.4 | 261.3 |
Poland | 328 | 327 | 321 | 303 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 25.0 |
Portugal | 65 | 65 | 55 | 28 | 0.8 | 9.9 | 37.8 |
Slovakia | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
Slovenia | 15 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 0.4 | 5.8 | 22.2 |
Spain | 349 | 347 | 321 | 241 | 2.2 | 28.4 | 108.6 |
Sum | 2 870 | 2 852 | 2 634 | 1 969 | 18.1 | 235.9 | 901.1 |
