Table 5 Winters addition model predicts admissions in the department of neurology in October-December 2023.

From: Comparison of SES method and SARIMA model in predicting the number of admissions in the department of neurology

Time

Actual Value

Predicted value

95%CI

Average Relative Error

October 2023

635

593

512 ~ 673

-0.07

November 2023

585

590

505 ~ 674

0.01

December 2023

553

536

448 ~ 624

-0.03

Total

1773

1719

-

-0.04