Table 8 SARIMA(0,1,1)(0,1,1)12 model parameter tests.

From: Comparison of SES method and SARIMA model in predicting the number of admissions in the department of neurology

Variable

 

Coefficient

SE

T

P Value

Hospital admissions

Constant

556.505

328.638

1.693

0.099

d

1

   

MA(1)

0.573

0.155

3.706

<0.001

D

1

   

MA(1), seasonal

0.659

0.376

1.752

0.088

Age

-9.651

5.498

-1.755

0.087

Length of stay

5.566

3.798

1.465

0.151

Spring festival factor

31.952

14.098

2.266

0.029