Table 9 SARIMA (0,1,1) (0,1,1) 12 model predicts admissions to the department of neurology in October-December 2023.

From: Comparison of SES method and SARIMA model in predicting the number of admissions in the department of neurology

Time

Actual Value

Predicted value

95%CI

MRE

October 2023

635

614

518 ~ 710

-0.03

November 2023

585

597

492 ~ 702

0.02

December 2023

553

524

411 ~ 637

-0.05

Total

1773

1735

-

-0.03

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