Table 2 Test results for predictive models of neonatal risk of death.

From: Development and evaluation of machine learning training strategies for neonatal mortality prediction using multicountry data

Country

Model

Algorithm

Support

Positive Outcome

CI AUC-ROC

CI Recall

Accuracy

Precision

Specificity

F1-score

General1

General

LGBM Tuned

134,007

2,985

0.816 [0.807, 0.825]

0.220 [0.205, 0.235]

0.980

0.642

0.997

0.328

General1

Largest train size

LGBM

134,007

2,985

0.76 [0.750, 0.771]

0.998 [0.174, 0.201]

0.980

0.657

0.188

0.292

DRC

General

LGBM Tuned

18,568

445

0.797 [0.770, 0.825]

0.245 [0.207, 0.286]

0.980

0.752

0.998

0.369

DRC

Country-specific

XGB Tuned

18,568

445

0.793 [0.765, 0.819]

0.252 [0.215, 0.293]

0.98

0.762

0.998

0.378

DRC

Largest train size

LGBM

18,568

445

0.749 [0.722, 0.778]

0.997 [0.200, 0.277]

0.979

0.679

0.238

0.353

Guatemala

General

LGBM Tuned

25,167

539

0.795 [0.772, 0.819]

0.232 [0.198, 0.269]

0.982

0.772

0.998

0.357

Guatemala

Country-specific

LGBM Tuned

25,167

539

0.796 [0.774, 0.82]

0.232 [0.197, 0.269]

0.981

0.706

0.998

0.349

Guatemala

Largest train size

LGBM

25,167

539

0.71 [0.681, 0.738]

0.999 [0.123, 0.184]

0.981

0.783

0.154

0.257

Zambia

General

LGBM Tuned

18,677

215

0.785 [0.745, 0.826]

0.265 [0.206, 0.325]

0.990

0.679

0.999

0.381

Zambia

Country-specific

LGBM Tuned

18,677

215

0.801 [0.761, 0.839]

0.237 [0.181, 0.297]

0.990

0.630

0.998

0.345

Zambia

Largest train size

LGBM

18,677

215

0.744 [0.701, 0.789]

0.998 [0.176, 0.291]

0.989

0.575

0.233

0.331

India-Belagavi

General

LGBM Tuned

16,070

313

0.784 [0.751, 0.814]

0.278 [0.224, 0.328]

0.984

0.725

0.998

0.402

India-Belagavi

Country-specific

LGBM

16,070

313

0.781 [0.75, 0.811]

0.259 [0.206, 0.308]

0.983

0.692

0.998

0.377

India-Belagavi

Largest train size

LGBM

16,070

313

0.781 [0.750, 0.811]

0.998 [0.206, 0.308]

0.983

0.692

0.259

0.377

India-Nagpur

General

LGBM Tuned

18,278

323

0.812 [0.781, 0.84]

0.232 [0.190, 0.277]

0.983

0.568

0.997

0.330

India-Nagpur

Country-specific

XGB Tuned

18,278

323

0.808 [0.778, 0.836]

0.186 [0.146, 0.229]

0.983

0.571

0.997

0.28

India-Nagpur

Largest train size

LGBM

18,278

323

0.804 [0.774, 0.833]

0.996 [0.171, 0.258]

0.982

0.504

0.214

0.300

Pakistan

General

LGBM Tuned

16,521

838

0.772 [0.752, 0.790]

0.185 [0.157, 0.212]

0.950

0.515

0.991

0.272

Pakistan

Country-specific

LGBM Tuned

16,521

838

0.770 [0.750, 0.788]

0.189 [0.161, 0.215]

0.950

0.506

0.990

0.275

Pakistan

Largest train size

LGBM

16,521

838

0.746 [0.726, 0.766]

0.997 [0.122, 0.172]

0.954

0.719

0.147

0.244

Kenya

General

LGBM Tuned

19,637

280

0.808 [0.777, 0.839]

0.161 [0.119, 0.204]

0.987

0.634

0.999

0.256

Kenya

Country-specific

XGB Tuned

19,637

280

0.805 [0.774, 0.836]

0.139 [0.102, 0.179]

0.986

0.557

0.998

0.223

Kenya

Largest train size

LGBM

19,637

280

0.764 [0.730, 0.797]

0.998 [0.109, 0.190]

0.986

0.583

0.150

0.239

Bangladesh2

General

LGBM Tuned

1,089

32

0.854 [0.779, 0.920]

0.156 [0.038, 0.306]

0.971

0.500

0.995

0.238

Bangladesh2

Largest train size

LGBM

1,089

32

0.793 [0.691, 0.896]

0.999 [0.062, 0.334]

0.975

0.857

0.188

0.308

  1. 1The general model does not have a country-specific approach.
  2. 2Due to the lack of data on training set, Bangladesh does not present a country-specific approach, since it had no data collected in the training period.