Table 3 Test results for predictive models of neonatal risk of death with the addition of new predictors.

From: Development and evaluation of machine learning training strategies for neonatal mortality prediction using multicountry data

Country

Model

Algorithm

Support

Positive Outcome

CI AUC-ROC

Comparison to neonatal baseline model

General1

General

LGBM Tuned

134,007

2985

0.821 [0.812, 0.830]

Superior

General1

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

134,007

2985

0.788 [0.779, 0.798]

Superior

DRC

General

LGBM Tuned

18,568

445

0.794 [0.767, 0.821]

Inferior

DRC

Country-specific

XGB Tuned

18,568

445

0.788 [0.759, 0.816]

Inferior

DRC

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

18,568

445

0.782 [0.753, 0.810]

Superior

Guatemala

General

LGBM Tuned

25,167

539

0.802 [0.782, 0.825]

Superior

Guatemala

Country-specific

XGB Tuned

25,167

539

0.790 [0.768, 0.813]

Inferior

Guatemala

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

25,167

539

0.736 [0.708, 0.763]

Inferior

Zambia

General

LGBM Tuned

18,677

215

0.788 [0.747, 0.828]

Superior

Zambia

Country-specific

XGB Tuned

18,677

215

0.809 [0.771, 0.846]

Superior

Zambia

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

18,677

215

0.760 [0.716, 0.802]

Inferior

India-Belagavi

General

LGBM Tuned

16,070

313

0.787 [0.756, 0.816]

Superior

India-Belagavi

Country-specific

Adaboost Tuned

16,070

313

0.785 [0.754, 0.816]

Superior

India-Belagavi

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

16,070

313

0.785 [0.754, 0.816]

Superior

India-Nagpur

General

LGBM Tuned

18,278

323

0.823 [0.791, 0.850]

Superior

India-Nagpur

Country-specific

Adaboost Tuned

18,278

323

0.811 [0.78, 0.84]

Superior

India-Nagpur

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

18,278

323

0.819 [0.789, 0.848]

Superior

Pakistan

General

LGBM Tuned

16,521

838

0.777 [0.758, 0.795]

Superior

Pakistan

Country-specific

LGBM Tuned

16,521

838

0.777 [0.756, 0.794]

Superior

Pakistan

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

16,521

838

0.750 [0.727, 0.77]

Inferior

Kenya

General

LGBM Tuned

19,637

280

0.814 [0.783, 0.844]

Superior

Kenya

Country-specific

LGBM Tuned

19,637

280

0.809 [0.777, 0.838]

Superior

Kenya

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

19,637

280

0.777 [0.745, 0.812]

Inferior

Bangladesh2

General

LGBM Tuned

1,089

32

0.860 [0.781, 0.926]

Superior

Bangladesh2

Biggest train size

Adaboost Tuned

1,089

32

0.822 [0.739, 0.898]

Superior

  1. 1The general model does not have a country-specific approach.
  2. 2Due to the lack of data on training set, Bangladesh does not present a country-specific approach, since it had no data collected in the training period.