Table 2 Results from our series of single item regression models, where each COVID-19 outcome of interest is regressed on one trust item, adjusting for GDP, life expectancy, educational attainment, urbanicity, and Freedom Score.
Question | COVID-19 deaths per million | Vaccination rate per 100 people | Estimated excess deaths per million | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimate | 95% Confidence Interval | p-value | Estimate | 95% Confidence Interval | p-value | Estimate | 95% Confidence Interval | p-value | |
Most people can be trusted | −2371.4 | (−4982.5, 239.6) | 0.074 | 24.6 | (−16.9, 66.2) | 0.031 | −5431.3 | (−10361.9, −500.8) | 0.24 |
Your family | −1231.6 | (−3647.8, 1184.5) | 0.31 | −45.8 | (−81.9, −9.8) | 0.21 | −2894.0 | (−7495.4, 1707.6) | 0.014 |
Your neighborhood | −1399.1 | (−2605.3, −193.0) | 0.024 | −13.3 | (−32.7, 6.2) | 0.001 | −3799.1 | (−5987.4, −1610.9) | 0.18 |
People you know personally | −1175.2 | (−2465.1, 114.9) | 0.073 | −19.0 | (−39.1, 1.2) | 0.022 | −2843.9 | (−5266.7, −421.0) | 0.064 |
People you meet for the first time | −570.4 | (−1905.3, 764.6) | 0.4 | −7.9 | (−28.8, 13.0) | 0.049 | −2489.2 | (−4970.2, −8.2) | 0.45 |
People of another religion | −193.0 | (−1391.9, 1006.0) | 0.75 | −0.4 | (−19.2, 18.4) | 0.53 | −719.9 | (−3008.4, 1568.5) | 0.97 |
People of another nationality | −312.4 | (−1619.6, 994.9) | 0.63 | −15.0 | (−35.1, 5.1) | 0.35 | −1179.6 | (−3666.1, 1306.9) | 0.14 |
The press | −1662.8 | (−2601.4, −724.2) | < 0.001 | 24.2 | (9.3, 39.2) | 0.0028 | −2872.3 | (−4707.2, −1037.4) | 0.0019 |
Television | −1464.9 | (−2363.2, −566.7) | 0.0019 | 22.2 | (8.0, 36.3) | 0.0013 | −2895.0 | (−4602.9, −1187.1) | 0.0027 |
Justice system/courts | −1216.1 | (−1929.2, −503.1) | 0.0012 | 9.4 | (−2.6, 21.4) | < 0.001 | −2568.6 | (−3900.7, −1236.4) | 0.12 |
The government | −1251.5 | (−1901.0, −602.0) | < 0.001 | 20.6 | (10.6, 30.6) | 0.013 | −1697.4 | (−3023.2, −371.6) | < 0.001 |
The political parties | −1144.9 | (−1891.9, −397.8) | 0.0033 | 25.8 | (15.2, 36.3) | 0.0089 | −1967.0 | (−3420.8, −513.1) | < 0.001 |
Parliament | −1054.9 | (−1705.1, −404.4) | 0.002 | 22.0 | (12.7, 31.4) | 0.015 | −1609.1 | (−2897.5, −320.8) | < 0.001 |
The civil services | −1188.9 | (−1981.1, −396.7) | 0.004 | 16.3 | (3.7, 29.0) | 0.0013 | −2516.8 | (−4004.3, −1029.2) | 0.012 |
Universities | −489.2 | (−1619.3, 641.0) | 0.39 | 41.7 | (28.0, 55.4) | 0.14 | −1594.8 | (−3729.0, 539.5) | < 0.001 |
Election | −772.1 | (−1539.4, −4.9) | 0.049 | 24.1 | (13.5, 34.6) | 0.035 | −1573.1 | (−3034.2, −112.1) | < 0.001 |
The environmental protection movement | −1341.1 | (−2474.2, −207.9) | 0.021 | 46.8 | (33.2, 60.3) | 0.012 | −2800.2 | (−4947.3, −653.0) | < 0.001 |
Charitable or humanitarian organizations | −804.8 | (−2036.2, 426.6) | 0.2 | 38.3 | (21.7, 54.8) | 0.0073 | −3115.2 | (−5353.3, −877.2) | < 0.001 |
Major regional organization | −1078.1 | (−2171.4, 15.3) | 0.053 | 39.3 | (25.2, 53.4) | 0.0025 | −3150.6 | (−5139.8, −1161.4) | < 0.001 |
The United Nations | −1113.4 | (−2106.2, −120.6) | 0.029 | 33.3 | (19.9, 46.8) | < 0.001 | −3201.5 | (−4986.3, −1416.7) | < 0.001 |
North Atlantic Treaty Organization | −724.1 | (−1726.9, 278.5) | 0.15 | 26.5 | (12.2, 40.8) | 0.0014 | −2986.5 | (−4764.5, −1208.5) | < 0.001 |
The World Bank | −1176.6 | (−2110.7, −242.6) | 0.015 | 28.3 | (15.0, 41.7) | 0.0032 | −2682.8 | (−4425.7, −940.0) | < 0.001 |
The World Health Organization | −1238.2 | (−2229.3, −247.1) | 0.015 | 37.4 | (24.6, 50.2) | < 0.001 | −3247.9 | (−5045.4, −1450.4) | < 0.001 |