Table 3 Model evaluation metrics from selected models using simulated data.
AUC | Brier score | AIC | BIC | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.78 | 0.19 | 459489.37 | 459740.75 | Saturated | Disability progression |
0.75 | 0.2 | 504289.15 | 504497.66 | SF-36 removed | Disability progression |
0.76 | 0.2 | 821197.5 | 821426.73 | MRI removed | Disability progression |
0.6 | 0.24 | 1229247.48 | 1229306.08 | Only significant | Disability progression |
0.73 | 0.16 | 427222.61 | 427475.3 | Saturated | Processing speed decline |
0.72 | 0.16 | 459631.47 | 459841.06 | SF-36 removed | Processing speed decline |
0.67 | 0.18 | 787135.32 | 787365.54 | MRI removed | Processing speed decline |
0.53 | 0.19 | 1116414.7 | 1116450.1 | Only significant | Processing speed decline |