Table 6 Summary of statistical evaluation metrics for statistical baseline models, where bold highlighted for the best models.
Sr. no. | TS datasets (MPa) | Classical or baseline models | MAPE (%) | SMAPE (%) | RMSE | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 5 | ES | 16.04 | 14.49 | 3.72 | 3.19 |
TBATS | 17.22 | 15.48 | 3.95 | 3.45 | ||
Auto ARIMA | 17.36 | 15.59 | 3.98 | 3.45 | ||
Theta | 2.42 | 2.42 | 0.55 | 0.48 | ||
2 | 15 | ES | 7.56 | 7.85 | 0.92 | 0.77 |
TBATS | 5.25 | 5.16 | 0.59 | 0.51 | ||
Auto ARIMA | 5.82 | 5.88 | 0.68 | 0.58 | ||
Theta | 6.35 | 6.06 | 0.74 | 0.60 | ||
3 | 25 | ES | 32.55 | 26.90 | 8.16 | 7.06 |
TBATS | 2.66 | 2.65 | 0.72 | 0.57 | ||
Auto ARIMA | 8.30 | 7.88 | 2.04 | 1.79 | ||
Theta | 2.18 | 2.18 | 0.53 | 0.47 | ||
4 | 35 | ES | 2.93 | 2.99 | 0.40 | 0.32 |
TBATS | 20.04 | 22.66 | 2.39 | 2.21 | ||
Auto ARIMA | 4.85 | 4.71 | 0.68 | 0.53 | ||
Theta | 7.31 | 7.61 | 0.85 | 0.80 |