Table 2 Cumulative disruption in ANC visits between in the “historical” (2012–2024), counterfactual, and 2025–2060 scenarios, nationally.
From: The impact of precipitation on ANC service utilisation and healthcare access in Malawi
Scenario | Model type | Disruptions due to precipitation (% ANC services missed) | Disruptions due to extreme precipitation (% ANC services missed) |
|---|---|---|---|
Historical | — | 65,703 (2.52) | 23,600 (35.92) |
1941 - 1953 counterfactual | — | 414 (0.016) | – 155 (37.53) |
ssp126 | Lowest | 195,177 (1.86) | 59,910 (32.63) |
ssp126 | Mean | 230,889(2.29) | 83,263 (34.96) |
ssp126 | Highest | 249,790 (2.58) | 89,950 (33.86) |
ssp245 | Lowest | 212,723 (2.10) | 76,641 (37.23) |
ssp245 | Mean | 216,686 (2.16) | 80,917 (37.30) |
ssp245 | Highest | 248,516(2.61) | 76,346 (30.15) |
ssp585 | Lowest | 208,949 (1.93) | 69,282 (34.12) |
ssp585 | Mean | 240,781 (2.42) | 96,187 (38.67) |
ssp585 | Highest | 253,068 (2.55) | 87,944 (33.71) |
