Fig. 3

Predicted survival probability (%) across Moore, Davies, and Heron Reefs in relation to: (a–c) nominal wave energy level predicted by spatial models; (d–f) long-term bottom stress predictions; (g–i) median flow velocity measured in-situ at each site; (j–l) sedimentation on turf pods; (m–o) sedimentation on concrete sed pods. Lines represent the predicted survival probabilities, and the shaded areas indicate 95% credible intervals. Data points are coloured by census time.