Table 1 Significant high-rate TB clusters in Nepal detected by SaTScan from FY 2020–2021, FY 2021–2022 and FY 2022–2023.
From: Spatial heterogenicity of tuberculosis and dengue in Nepal
Cluster | Location | Radius/KM | Prevalence of TB/100,000 | Observed cases | Expected cases | LLR | RR | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/07/2020- 30/06/2021 | ||||||||
Primary cluster | Rautahat Bara Sarlahi Mahottari Makawanpur Parsa Lalitpur Kabhrepalanchok Sindhuli Dhanusha Bhaktapur Kathmandu | 80.88 | 120.4 | 10,621 | 8654.61 | 308.42 | 1.36 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Kathmandu | 0 | 146.1 | 2981 | 2002.42 | 225.79 | 1.55 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Mahottari Dhanusha Sarlahi | 27.89 | 125.1 | 3048 | 2390.45 | 91.44 | 1.31 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Banke Salyan Bardiya Dang | 59.29 | 127.2 | 2513 | 1938.68 | 83.96 | 1.32 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Parsa Bara Makawanpur Chitawan Rautahat | 58.04 | 117.2 | 4001 | 3351.55 | 67.64 | 1.23 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Kanchanpur Dadeldhura Kailali | 55.91 | 125.6 | 1956 | 1528.13 | 58.38 | 1.30 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Rupandehi Parasi Palpa | 35.30 | 114.0 | 1998 | 1720.20 | 22.75 | 1.17 | < 0.001 |
01/07/2021-30/06/2022 | ||||||||
Primary cluster | Bara Rautahat Parsa Makawanpur Sarlahi Lalitpur Kabhrepalanchok Bhaktapur Kathmandu Mahottari Chitawan | 82.18 | 163.9 | 13,715 | 10873.60 | 497.70 | 1.41 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Makawanpur Lalitpur Kathmandu Parsa Bara Bhaktapur | 42.45 | 173.7 | 8521 | 6372.87 | 402.08 | 1.43 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Banke Salyan Bardiya Dang | 59.29 | 182.1 | 3597 | 2565.99 | 199.10 | 1.44 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Dhanusha Mahottari Sarlahi | 27.89 | 161.2 | 3925 | 3163.95 | 93.37 | 1.27 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Kanchanpur Dadeldhura Kailali | 55.91 | 154.5 | 2406 | 2022.60 | 36.30 | 1.20 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Parasi Palpa Rupandehi Nawalpur Syangja Chitawan | 68.85 | 146.4 | 4541 | 4030.62 | 34.90 | 1.14 | < 0.001 |
01/07/2022-30/06/2023 | ||||||||
Primary cluster | Rautahat Bara Sarlahi Mahottari Makawanpur Parsa Lalitpur Kabhrepalanchok Sindhuli Dhanusha Bhaktapur Kathmandu | 80.88 | 164.9 | 14,544 | 11329.81 | 624.48 | 1.46 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Kathmandu | 0 | 186.9 | 3813 | 2621.38 | 257.80 | 1.51 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Parsa Bara Makawanpur | 39.07 | 175.8 | 3310 | 2418.63 | 158.57 | 1.40 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Dhanusha Mahottari | 21.94 | 179.1 | 2819 | 2021.95 | 148.79 | 1.43 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Banke Salyan Bardiya Dang | 59.29 | 168.0 | 3318 | 2537.94 | 117.98 | 1.34 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Rupandehi | 0 | 155.6 | 1745 | 1440.58 | 31.40 | 1.22 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Sarlahi | 0 | 158.8 | 1369 | 1107.40 | 29.66 | 1.25 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Lalitpur Bhaktapur | 18.13 | 149.4 | 1469 | 1263.19 | 16.51 | 1.17 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster | Kanchanpur Dadeldhura Kailali | 55.91 | 143.9 | 2240 | 2000.49 | 14.61 | 1.13 | < 0.001 |
