Fig. 1
From: Simulating nationwide coupled disease and fear spread in an agent-based model
ODE model comparison: We show outputs with attention to parameter choices which impact the emergence of multiple epidemic waves. On the top and bottom we show solutions corresponding to parameter choices which fail to produce, or produce, respectively, a second wave within 360 days. We show these results for models combining (1) a basic Susceptible Infectious Recovered model with Neutral and Fearful states (\(SIR \times NF\), a and d, varying the relative likelihood an individual becomes fearful after recovering from a symptomatic infection, \(\rho _f\)), (2) seperating symptomatic and asymptomatic infectious and recovered states (\(SI_sI_aR_sR_a \times NF\), b) and introducing Exposed and Presymptomatic states (e, varying the susceptibility of fearful individuals to infection, \(\sigma _f\)), and \(SEPI_sI_aR_sR_a \times NF\) (c and f, varying \(\sigma _f\)). For ease of comparison, we combine all infected (including E), recovered, and fearful compartments in each model into a single line in each of the plots above.
