Table 2 Driving factors in the STIRPAT Model.

From: Carbon emission forecasting in the Yangtze river middle reaches under dual carbon goals with multiple drivers

Drivers

Short name

Description

Unit

C

Carbon emissions

Energy-related CO₂ emissions

kt

TP

Population

Population at the end of the year

Thousand person

UR

Urbanization

Proportion of urban population to total population

%

RG

GDP per capita

Per capita real GDP

yuan per person

ES

Energy consumption structure

Energy Structure = Electricity Consumption/Total National Electricity Consumption

%

IS

Industry structure

Industrial Structure = Value Added of Secondary Industry/GDP

%

EI

Energy intensity

Energy Intensity = Energy Consumption/GDP

%

CI

Carbon emission intensity

Carbon Emissions/GDP

10,000 tons per 100 million yuan

PT

The proportion of the tertiary industry

Value Added of the Tertiary Industry/GDP

tons of standard coal per 10,000 yuan

  1. Data Sources: China Statistical Yearbook, China Economic Yearbook, China Industrial Economic Statistical Yearbook, China Energy Statistical Yearbook, China Population and Employment Statistical Yearbook, Hubei Statistical Yearbook, Hunan Statistical Yearbook, and Jiangxi Statistical Yearbook (various editions).