Table 4 Ablation Study: Impact of Forecast Type and Objective Function. This table provides the definition and description of the three policy variants used in the study: (i) P-PCTL (point forecast + percentile objective), (ii) Q-MEAN (probabilistic forecast + mean objective), and (iii) Q-PCTL (probabilistic forecast + percentile objective, ours).
Config | Forecast Type | Cost Objective | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
Q-PCTL (ours) | Probabilistic | Percentile | Full model – stochastic forecast with percentile-based objective (baseline minimizing 75th percentile of cost). |
P-PCTL | Point | Percentile | Deterministic forecast with objective minimizing the 75th percentile of cost. |
Q-MEAN | Probabilistic | Mean | Probabilistic forecast using demand quantiles but optimizing the mean cost. |
