Table 2 Future trends (per century) in meteorological predictors of dengue mortality in Pune from 2015 to 2100 under the future Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP), (a) SSP1 (sustainability pathway with low emission scenario), (b) SSP2 (middle-of-the-road pathway with intermediate emission scenario), and (c) SSP5 (fossil-fuel intensive pathway with high emission scenario). Trend values are based on the ensemble mean of eight selected CMIP6 models. Statistically significant trends (p < 0.05) are marked with an asterisk (*).

From: Dengue dynamics, predictions, and future increase under changing monsoon climate in India

Variables

Trend/century

SSP1

SSP2

SSP5

Temperature (°C/century)

1.26*

2.3*

4.6*

Rainfall (mm/century)

1.61*

8.7*

15.3*

Relative humidity (%/century)

− 0.3

0.2

1.06*

Active days (days/century)

1.5

3.8*

7.03*

Break days (days/century)

1.1

3.2*

9.01*

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