Table 5 Probability and its corresponding solar irradiance mid-point for 14-step model.

From: Data driven prediction based reliability assessment of solar energy systems incorporating uncertainties for generation planning

Steps

Probability for Actual Solar Irradiance (SR)

Actual Mid-point for SR (Wh/m^2)

Probability for Predicted Solar Irradiance (SR)

Predicted Mid-point for SR (Wh/m^2)

State 1

0.06

25.2942

0.12

31.0067

State 2

0.1

75.8825

0.1

93.0202

State 3

0.08

126.4708

0.12

155.0337

State 4

0.04

177.0591

0.02

217.0472

State 5

0.08

227.6475

0.1

279.0607

State 6

0.08

278.2358

0.06

341.0742

State 7

0

328.8241

0.14

403.0877

State 8

0.2

379.4124

0.24

465.1012

State 9

0.04

430.0008

0.08

527.1147

State 10

0.28

480.5891

0.02

589.1282

State 11

0.04

531.1774

0

651.1417

State 12

0

581.7657

0

713.1552

State 13

0

632.3541

0

775.1687

State 14

0

682.9424

0

837.1822