Table 1 Summary of cross-correlation and regression results between mean apparent calving interval (CI) of Southern right whales and six environmental variables: the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ONI), Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), mid-latitude sea surface temperature (SST), sea ice concentration (SIC), and cumulative summer chlorophyll-a at mid and high latitudes (Chl). Reported are the lag (in years) at which the maximum cross-correlation (acf) occurred, and the lag yielding the highest adjusted R². Only lags ≤ 0 were considered, as positive lags (i.e., CI leading environmental change) are not biologically interpretable. Also shown are the adjusted R² and corresponding p-value at the optimal lag. Statistically significant relationships are denoted by * (p < 0.05) and ** (p < 0.01).
From: Climate-driven reproductive decline in Southern right whales
Variable | lag (max acf) | acf | lag (max R2 adj) | R2 adj | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chl (mid) | 0 | −0.4264 | 0 | 0.1447 | 0.0377* |
Chl (high) | 0 | 0.4932 | 0 | 0.2089 | 0.0143* |
SST (mid) | 0 | 0.4112 | −8 | 0.349 | 0.0028** |
SIC | −1 | −0.5824 | 0 | 0.2163 | 0.0064** |
AAO | 0 | 0.4598 | 0 | 0.1822 | 0.0121* |
ONI | −8 | 0.2302 | −6 | 0.0072 | 0.2939 |