Table 1 Summary of cross-correlation and regression results between mean apparent calving interval (CI) of Southern right whales and six environmental variables: the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ONI), Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), mid-latitude sea surface temperature (SST), sea ice concentration (SIC), and cumulative summer chlorophyll-a at mid and high latitudes (Chl). Reported are the lag (in years) at which the maximum cross-correlation (acf) occurred, and the lag yielding the highest adjusted R². Only lags ≤ 0 were considered, as positive lags (i.e., CI leading environmental change) are not biologically interpretable. Also shown are the adjusted R² and corresponding p-value at the optimal lag. Statistically significant relationships are denoted by * (p < 0.05) and ** (p < 0.01).

From: Climate-driven reproductive decline in Southern right whales

Variable

lag (max acf)

acf

lag (max R2 adj)

R2 adj

p

Chl (mid)

0

−0.4264

0

0.1447

0.0377*

Chl (high)

0

0.4932

0

0.2089

0.0143*

SST (mid)

0

0.4112

−8

0.349

0.0028**

SIC

−1

−0.5824

0

0.2163

0.0064**

AAO

0

0.4598

0

0.1822

0.0121*

ONI

−8

0.2302

−6

0.0072

0.2939