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Integration of short non coding RNA and genetic factors for coronary artery disease risk prediction in a prospective study
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  • Published: 11 February 2026

Integration of short non coding RNA and genetic factors for coronary artery disease risk prediction in a prospective study

  • Elisabetta Casalone1,
  • Miriam Rosselli1,
  • Giovanni Birolo2,
  • Carla Debernardi1,
  • Chiara Catalano1,
  • Serena Aneli3,
  • Alessandra Allione1,
  • Cecilia Di Primio1,
  • Annette Peters4,5,6,
  • Christian Gieger4,7,
  • Gabrielle Anton4,7,
  • Paolo Vineis8,
  • Carlotta Sacerdote9 &
  • …
  • Giuseppe Matullo1,10 

Scientific Reports , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

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We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Biomarkers
  • Cardiology
  • Epigenetics
  • Epigenomics
  • Medical research
  • Risk factors

Abstract

Coronary artery diseases (CADs) continue to be the leading global contributors to multi-morbidity and mortality. Given the significant burden of CADs, there is a critical need to identify novel and effective biomarkers for risk assessment. This study sought to evaluate the potential of serum extracellular vesicle-derived small non-coding RNAs (sncRNAs) as predictive biomarkers for CAD risk. Using next-generation sequencing approach, the levels of extracellular vesicles (EVs)-associated sncRNAs were analysed in serum samples from 91 pre-clinical CAD cases and their matched healthy controls, sourced from the prospective EPICOR cohort. We evaluated the predictive ability of sncRNAs alone and in combination with polygenic risk score (PRS) PGS000329. We identified 44 differentially expressed microRNAs (miRNAs) and PIWI-interacting RNAs (piRNAs) (FDR < 0.05), which were then narrowed down to ten significant signals (|log2FC|>0.6) for technical validation. RT-qPCR analysis confirmed the trend of expression for two miRNAs (miR-194-5p and miR-451a) and six piRNAs (piR-20266, piR-23533, piR-27282, piR-28212, piR-1043, piR-619). The ROC curve from a Random Forest model showed a higher discrimination ability of piR-619 and piR-23,533 (AUC = 0.72) compared to the use of traditional risk factors alone (AUC = 0.68). To enhance CAD risk assessment, we integrated genetic data by stratifying the cohort into two groups based on the 80th percentile of the PGS000329. We observed an odds ratio (OR) of 2.8 (95% CI: 1.3–6.4, p = 0.01) using PGS000329 alone. When the model was adjusted to include two piRNAs and smoking status, the OR increased to 3.26 (95% CI: 1.2–9.5, p = 0.02). Even though this study is limited by the absence of an independent replication cohort, these findings suggest that the two piRNAs pattern could contribute to predict the risk of CAD and may provide valuable insights into the underlying pathogenesis of the disease, in particular integrating individual CAD-PRS.

Data availability

The genetic and sequencing samples data that support the findings of this study are available from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) project, but restrictions apply to the availability of these data, which were used under license for the current study, and so are not publicly available. The produced data are available from Prof. Giuseppe Matullo (giuseppe.matullo@unito.it) upon reasonable request and with permission of the EPIC committee. Raw count matrix of the aligned small RNAs across all sequenced samples is provided in Supplementary material.

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Acknowledgements

The authors acknowledge Giovanni Camussi (Dep of Medical Sciences, University of Turin) for his contribution in characterizing extracellular vesicles.

Funding

EPIC, EPICOR and EPICOR2 projects were supported by the Compagnia di San Paolo for the EPIC, EPICOR and EPICOR2 projects (SP, SS, RT, PV, LI, CS, GM) and from the Ministero dell’Istruzione, dell’Università e della Ricerca—c (n° D15D18000410001, to G.M.) to the Department of Medical Sciences, University of Torino. This work was also supported by the “Genoma mEdiciNa pERsonalizzatA – GENERA”, funded from the Ministero dell’Istruzione, dell’Università e della Ricerca 2021 (n° D73C22000960001) and by CARdiomyopathy in type 2 DIAbetes mellitus (Cardiateam) funded from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking (JU) under grant agreement No 821508.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Genomic Variation, Complex Diseases and Population Medicine, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy

    Elisabetta Casalone, Miriam Rosselli, Carla Debernardi, Chiara Catalano, Alessandra Allione, Cecilia Di Primio & Giuseppe Matullo

  2. Computational Biomedicine, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy

    Giovanni Birolo

  3. Department of Public Health Sciences and Pediatrics, University of Turin, Turin, Italy

    Serena Aneli

  4. Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Munich, Germany

    Annette Peters, Christian Gieger & Gabrielle Anton

  5. Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology (IBE), Faculty of Medicine, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany

    Annette Peters

  6. Munich Heart Alliance, German Center for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK E.V.), Partner-Site Munich, Munich, Germany

    Annette Peters

  7. Research Unit Molecular Epidemiology, Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum Munich, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Munich, Germany

    Christian Gieger & Gabrielle Anton

  8. MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College London, London, UK

    Paolo Vineis

  9. Piedmont Reference Centre for Epidemiology and Cancer Prevention (CPO Piemonte), Turin, Italy

    Carlotta Sacerdote

  10. Medical Genetic Service, Città Della Salute E Della Scienza, Turin, Italy

    Giuseppe Matullo

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Contributions

E.C. G.M. A.A. C.S. conceptualised the study. E.C. G.M. A.A. and C.C initiated and designed the experiments. G.M. P.V. and C.S. help in the selection of the samples. E.C. M.R. and C.D. wrote the main manuscript text. G.B. S.A. C.D. C.D.P. E.C. performed the bioinformatic and statistical analyses. A.P. C.G. and G.A. revised the manuscript.All authors gave final approval of the version to be published. All authors made a significant contribution to the work reported.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Elisabetta Casalone or Giuseppe Matullo.

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Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study protocol was approved by the ethics committees centralized at the International Agency for Research on Cancer (Lyon, France) (reference number: IEC 24 − 08). The EPICOR Study, a case–cohort study nested within the EPIC–Italy prospective cohort, was approved by the HuGeF Ethics Committee in Turin on 15 December 2010.

Informed consent

Informed consents for the genetic research were obtained from all subjects involved in both the studies cited earlier.

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Casalone, E., Rosselli, M., Birolo, G. et al. Integration of short non coding RNA and genetic factors for coronary artery disease risk prediction in a prospective study. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-38355-4

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  • Received: 21 January 2025

  • Accepted: 29 January 2026

  • Published: 11 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-38355-4

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Keywords

  • Coronary artery disease
  • PiRNAs
  • MiRNAs
  • Polygenic risk score
  • Biomarkers
  • NGS
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