Abstract
Groundwater plays a crucial role in sustaining agriculture, drinking water supply, and socio-economic development, particularly in the Eastern Himalayan Foothills, where surface water availability is highly variable and hydrogeological conditions are complex. In Baksa District, Assam, groundwater occurrence is strongly influenced by steep slopes, high runoff, intense monsoonal rainfall, and structural controls, making groundwater assessment challenging and underscoring the need for a region-specific and validated approach. The objective of this study is to delineate groundwater potential zones using an integrated Geographic Information System (GIS) and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) framework tailored to the foothill environment. Seven thematic factors were systematically evaluated and weighted based on their influence on groundwater. The resulting Groundwater Potential Index (GWPI) classified the study area into five categories. Model validation was carried out using groundwater depth data from 11 Central Ground Water Board (CGWB) observation wells for the period 2019–2020, and predictive performance was assessed through Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. An Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.80 indicates good agreement between predicted groundwater potential zones and observed groundwater conditions, confirming the reliability of the proposed approach. High- to very-high groundwater potential zones are mainly associated with flat terrain, while foothill transition areas show reduced potential owing to steep slopes and enhanced runoff. The study demonstrates that the GIS-AHP framework, supported by field-based validation, provides a reliable decision-support tool for groundwater resource planning, artificial recharge site identification, and sustainable water management in data-scarce foothill regions of the Eastern Himalayas.
Data availability
The data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author.
References
Abijith, D. et al. GIS-based multi-criteria analysis for the identification of potential groundwater recharge zones: a case study from the Ponnaniyaru watershed, Tamil Nadu, India. HydroResearch 3, 1–14 (2020).
Anghel, C. G. & Ianculescu, D. Probabilistic Forecasting of Peak Discharges Using L-Moments and Multi-Parameter Statistical Models. Water, 17(13): 1908. (2025).
Anthony, K., Arunachalam, V. & Hemparuva, R. J. A Multi-Objective AHP Framework for Optimal UPFC Placement To Enhance Voltage Stability in Renewable-Integrated Power Systems (Engineering Research Ex, 2025).
Arulbalaji, P., Padmalal, D. & Sreelash, K. GIS and AHP techniques based delineation of groundwater potential zones: a case study from southern Western Ghats, India. Scientific Reports, 9(1), 2082. (2019).
Basumatary, S. & Maji, S. Applications for Water Resources Management in Foot-Hill: A Comprehensive Review. In International Conference on Hydraulics, Water Resources and Coastal Engineering (pp. 579–594). Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore. (2023).
Biswas, B., Ghute, B. & Das, J. (eds) Geoinformatics for Flood Risk Management: Applications and Strategies (CRC, 2025).
Central Ground Water Board. Aquifer Mapping and Management Plan of Baksa district, Assam: Annual Action Plan 2019-20 (Ministry of Jal Shakti, Department of Water Resources, 2019).
Chowdhury, P., Mukhopadhyay, B. P., Nayak, S. & Bera, A. Hydro-chemical characterization of groundwater and evaluation of health risk assessment for fluoride contamination areas in the Eastern blocks of purulia district, India. Environ. Dev. Sustain. 24 (9), 11320–11347 (2022).
Chuhdary, R., Shah, M. Z., Chuhdary, S., Tahira, M. & Tahir, R. Developing A sustainable urban planning index: A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making framework for master plan evaluation in developing countries. Int. J. Res. Innov. Social Sci. 9 (2), 4206–4236 (2025).
Das, K., Mukherjee, A., Malakar, P., Das, P. & Dey, U. Impact of global-scale hydroclimatic patterns on surface water-groundwater interactions in the climatically vulnerable Ganges river delta of the sundarbans. Sci. Total Environ. 798, 149198 (2021).
Dashti Barmaki, M., Rezaei, M. & Madadi, S. Use of fractal dimensions analysis in GIS and remote-sensing techniques to identify groundwater prospective zones in the Anar-Dashtegol anticline, Iran. Carbonates Evaporites. 35 (1), 4 (2020).
Fashae, O. A., Tijani, M. N., Talabi, A. O. & Adedeji, O. I. Delineation of groundwater potential zones in the crystalline basement terrain of SW-Nigeria: an integrated GIS and remote sensing approach. Appl. Water Sci. 4 (1), 19–38 (2014).
Farhat, B. et al. N., A. Integrated Geospatial approach for assessing groundwater potential in the Takelsa coastal Basin, Tunisia. International J. Environ. Sci. Technology, 1–28. (2025).
Genjula, W., Jothimani, M., Gunalan, J. & Abebe, A. Applications of statistical and AHP models in groundwater potential mapping in the mensa river catchment, Omo river valley, Ethiopia. Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 9 (4), 4057–4075 (2023).
Ghosh, P. K., Bandyopadhyay, S. & Jana, N. C. Mapping of groundwater potential zones in hard rock terrain using geoinformatics: a case of Kumari watershed in Western part of West Bengal. Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 2 (1), 1 (2016).
Goitsemang, T., Das, D. M., Raul, S. K., Subudhi, C. R. & Panigrahi, B. Assessment of groundwater potential in the Kalahandi district of Odisha (India) using remote sensing, GIS and AHP. J. Indian Soc. Remote Sens. 48 (12), 1739–1753 (2020).
Gogu, R., Carabin, G., Hallet, V., Peters, V. & Dassargues, A. GIS-based hydrogeological databases and groundwater modelling. Hydrogeol. J. 9 (6), 555–569 (2001).
Guru, B., Seshan, K. & Bera, S. Frequency ratio model for groundwater potential mapping and its sustainable management in cold desert, India. J. King Saud University–Science. 29 (3), 333–347 (2017).
Hosen, M. B., Islam, M. R., Tahera-Tun-Humayra, U., Sharker, R., Kader, Z., Aziz,M. T., Tofiquzzaman, M. (2025). Assessing land suitability for dragon fruit cultivation in Bangladesh: a GIS-based AHP approach. Smart Agricultural Technology, 101241.
Jha, M. K., Chowdary, V. M. & Chowdhury, A. Groundwater assessment in salboni Block, West Bengal (India) using remote sensing, GIS and MCDM techniques. Hydrogeol. J. 18 (7), 1713–1728 (2010).
Jha, M. K., Chowdhury, A., Chowdary, V. M. & Peiffer, S. Groundwater management and development by integrated remote sensing and GIS: prospects and constraints. Water Resour. Manage. 21 (2), 427–467 (2007).
Jie, Y. et al. Assessment and economic evaluation of delineation of agricultural groundwater potential zones using geo-spatial and multi-influencing factor techniques. Appl. Water Sci. 15 (8), 1–13 (2025).
Jothibasu, A. & Anbazhagan, S. Spatial mapping of groundwater potential in Ponnaiyar river basin using probabilistic-based frequency ratio model. Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 3 (1), 33 (2017).
Krishnamurthy, J., Venkatesa Kumar, N., Jayaraman, V. & Manivel, M. An approach to demarcate ground water potential zones through remote sensing and GIS. Int. J. Remote Sens. 17 (10), 1867–1884 (1996).
Lavers, T., Charlesworth, S. M., Lashford, C., Warwick, F. & Fried, J. The performance of natural flood management at the large catchment-scale: A case study in the Warwickshire Stour Valley. Water 14 (23), 3836 (2022).
Leta, E. D., Diriba, D., Abrha, N. & Karuppannan, S. Landslide susceptibility mapping using Geospatial technology in the case of the Gidabo watershed, main Ethiopian rift. Scientific African, e02928. (2025).
Magesh, N. S., Chandrasekar, N. & Soundranayagam, J. P. Delineation of groundwater potential zones in Theni district, Tamil Nadu, using remote sensing, GIS and MIF techniques. Geosci. Front. 3 (2), 189–196 (2012).
Magesh, N. S., Krishnakumar, S., Chandrasekar, N. & Soundranayagam, J. P. Groundwater quality assessment using WQI and GIS techniques, Dindigul district, Tamil Nadu, India. Arab. J. Geosci. 6 (11), 4179–4189 (2013).
Machiwal, D., Jha, M. K. & Mal, B. C. Assessment of groundwater potential in a semi-arid region of India using remote sensing, GIS and MCDM techniques. Water Resour. Manage. 25 (5), 1359–1386 (2011).
Malczewski, J. GIS and Multicriteria Decision Analysis (Wiley, 1999).
Mallick, J. et al. Geospatial and Geostatistical approach for groundwater potential zone delineation. Hydrol. Process. 29 (3), 395–418 (2015).
Mallick, J. et al. Modeling groundwater potential zone in a semi-arid region of Aseer using fuzzy-AHP and geoinformation techniques. Water 11 (12), 2656 (2019).
Murmu, P., Kumar, M., Lal, D., Sonker, I. & Singh, S. K. Delineation of groundwater potential zones using Geospatial techniques and AHP in Dumka district, Jharkhand, India. Groundw. Sustainable Dev. 9, 100239 (2019).
Nag, S. K. & Kundu, A. Application of remote sensing, GIS and MCA techniques for delineating groundwater prospect zones in Kashipur block, purulia district, West Bengal. Appl. Water Sci. 8 (1), 38 (2018).
Naghibi, S. A., Moghaddam, D. D., Kalantar, B., Pradhan, B. & Kisi, O. Comparative assessment of GIS-based data mining models and a novel ensemble model in groundwater well potential mapping. J. Hydrol. 548, 471–483 (2017).
Nigussie, W., Hailu, B. T. & Azagegn, T. Mapping of groundwater potential zones using Sentinel satellites and AHP in Ketar watershed, main Ethiopian rift. J. Afr. Earth Sc. 160, 103632 (2019).
Park, I., Kim, Y. & Lee, S. Groundwater productivity potential mapping using evidential belief function. Groundwater 52 (S1), 201–207 (2014).
Pathmanandakumar, V., Thasarathan, N. & Ranagalage, M. An approach to delineate potential groundwater zones in Kilinochchi district, Sri Lanka, using GIS techniques. ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Information. 10 (11), 730 (2021).
Rahmati, O., Samani, A. N., Mahdavi, M., Pourghasemi, H. R. & Zeinivand, H. Groundwater potential mapping at Kurdistan region of Iran using AHP and GIS. Arab. J. Geosci. 8 (9), 7059–7071 (2015).
Rahmati, O. et al. Groundwater spring potential modelling: capability and robustness of three different models. J. Hydrol. 565, 248–261 (2018).
Rakesh, G. & Tiwari, N. K. Assessment of groundwater at Kurukshetra district. Water Pract. Technol. 17 (11), 2225–2241 (2022).
Saaty, T. L. The Analytic Hierarchy Process: Planning, Priority Setting, Resource Allocation (McGraw-Hill, 1980).
Salha, A. A. & Stevens, D. K. Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Applicability on Nutrients Loadings Prediction in Mountainous Lower Bear Malad River (LBMR) Watershed, Utah. In AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts (Vol. 2014, pp. H11A-0857). (2014), December.
Sander, P., Chesley, M. M. & Minor, T. B. Groundwater assessment using remote sensing and GIS in a rural groundwater project in ghana: lessons learned. Hydrogeol. J. 4 (3), 40–49 (1996).
Shekhar, S., Pandey, A. C. & Tirkey, A. S. A GIS-based DRASTIC model for assessing groundwater vulnerability in hard rock granitic aquifer. Arab. J. Geosci. 8 (3), 1385–1401 (2015).
Singh, R., Tripathy, S., Gupta, A. K., Uddameri, V. & Bagal, S. R. Enhancing Spatial interpretability of fluoride in groundwater using an integrated GIS and machine learning approach. Earth Syst. Environment, 1–21. (2025).
Sreedevi, P. D., Sreekanth, P. D. & Reddy, D. V. Deuterium excess of groundwater as a proxy for recharge in an evaporative environment of a granitic aquifer, South India. J. Geol. Soc. India. 97 (6), 649–655 (2021).
Tahera-Tun-Humayra, U., Islam, M. R., Hosen, M. B., Kader, Z., Sharker, R., Hasan,M., Pervin, R. (2025). Groundwater Potential Zone Mapping Using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and GIS for Narshingdi District, Bangladesh. Environmental Challenges, 101335.
Tsegaw, W. D., Hatiye, S. D. & Eshete, A. A. Comparative groundwater potential mapping using AHP and FR methods in the Woleka river sub-basin, Ethiopia. Water Pract. Technol. 20 (7), 1661–1680 (2025).
Vellaikannu, A. et al. Identification of groundwater potential zones using Geospatial approach in Sivagangai district, South India. Arab. J. Geosci. 14 (1), 8 (2021).
Yeh, H. F., Cheng, Y. S., Lin, H. I. & Lee, C. H. Mapping groundwater recharge potential zone using a GIS approach in Hualian River, Taiwan. Sustainable Environ. Res. 26 (1), 33–43 (2016).
Appukuttan, A. & Reghunath, R. Identification of groundwater potential zones in a tropical lateritic terrain by analytical hierarchy process-based multi-criteria analysis and Geospatial technology. Arab. J. Geosci. 15 (15), 1323 (2022).
Ajayakumar, A. & Reghunath, R. Delineation of groundwater recharge zones in lateritic terrains using Geospatial techniques. Discover Geoscience. 3 (1), 6 (2025).
Appukuttan, A. & Reghunath, R. Machine learning-based groundwater potential mapping and factor analysis in tropical lateritic terrains using self-organizing maps and random forest. Environ. Monit. Assess. 197 (12), 1340 (2025).
Ajayakumar, A. Application of GIS and RS in hydrogeology: insights from river basin studies of South India. In Modern River Science for Watershed Management: GIS and Hydrogeological Application (171–194). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland. (2024).
Appukuttan, A., Aju, C. D., Reghunath, R., Srinivas, R. & Krishnan, K. A. Exploring hydrochemical drivers of drinking water quality in a tropical river basin using self-organizing maps and explainable AI. Water Research, 123884. (2025).
Acknowledgements
Gratitude is extended to the academic mentors and institutions whose guidance supported this work. Appreciation is also extended to the Central Ground Water Board (CGWB), IMD, and various open data sources, such as USGS, NASA, and NBSS&LUP, for providing essential datasets used in the analysis. The support and encouragement from colleagues and family throughout the study are sincerely acknowledged.
Funding
The authors declare no specific funding received for this work.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
The study was conceptualized and designed with a focus on integrating geospatial and multi-criteria decision-making techniques. All thematic layers were generated, processed, and standardized using GIS and remote sensing approaches. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) was applied for parameter weighting, followed by consistency analysis and weighted linear combination for groundwater potential mapping. Model validation was carried out using CGWB well data and ROC-AUC analysis. All interpretations, map preparations, statistical assessments, and manuscript writing were completed as part of this research work.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
About this article
Cite this article
Basumatary, S., Maji, S. Integrated GIS and AHP framework for groundwater potential mapping in a Himalayan foothill district of Northeast India. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-39210-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-39210-2