Table 7 Interval approaches result, lag = 48.
From: Electric-load forecasting using interval models based on granularity and justifiable principles
Method | PICP | MPIW | Winkler score |
|---|---|---|---|
QR (10%, 50%, 90% quantiles) | 0.82 | 0.06 | 492.9 |
Conformal prediction | 0.91 | 0.07 | 473.3 |
LSTM (hidden units = 50) | 0.22 | 0.67 | 28273 |
MLP (two hidden[64 32]) | 0.86 | 0.05 | 417.75 |