Table 4 Distribution of respondents’ perception response, accuracy, and bias level across seven climate variables (n = 198) compared to 1980–2022 meteorological data in the Koh-e-Suleiman Range, Pakistan.

From: Do pastoral and agro-pastoral perceptions align with observed climate extremes? Evidence from the Koh-e-Suleiman Range, Pakistan

Variable

Perception response (%)

Accuracy level (%)

Bias level (%)

 

Increase

Decrease

No change

Correct

Incorrect

Misjudged

Overestimate

Underestimate

Temperature-related indicators

 Temperature

83.3

1.0

15.7

83.3

16.7

15.7

0.0

1.0

 Warm spells

82.8

1.0

16.2

82.8

17.2

16.2

0.0

1.0

 Cold spells

8.6

71.7

19.7

71.7

28.3

19.7

8.6

0.0

Precipitation-related indicators

 Rainfall

60.6

27.3

12.1

60.6

39.4

12.1

0.0

27.3

 Rain intensity

84.8

2.0

13.1

84.8

15.2

13.1

0.0

2.0

 Floods

87.9

0.0

12.1

87.9

12.1

12.1

0.0

0.0

Drought-related indicators

 Drought spells

60.1

15.2

24.7

24.7

75.3

0.0

60.1

15.2

  1. “Misjudged” indicates responses of “no change” when the observed trend was increasing or decreasing; “overestimate” and “underestimate” indicate directional disagreement with observed trends.