Table 2 Description of land-use, climate, and energy scenarios considered in the study.
From: Analyzing sustainable cotton production in Türkiye through the water energy carbon nexus framework
Scenario | Cultivation area (ha) | Precipitation change | Renewable energy share | Scenario description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
L0 | 518,000 | Baseline (no reduction) | Baseline | Baseline cotton production conditions representing the actual situation in 2021 |
L1 | 350,000 | −20% until 2040; −36% until 2070 | 15% (2040); 50% (2070) | Contraction scenario reflecting reduced cultivation area under climate change and energy transition |
L2 | 400,000 | −20% until 2040; −36% until 2070 | 15% (2040); 50% (2070) | Moderate contraction scenario allowing comparison across land-use pathways |
L3 | 450,000 | −20% until 2040; −36% until 2070 | 15% (2040); 50% (2070) | Reference expansion pathway under combined climate and energy policy assumptions |
L4 | 500,000 | −20% until 2040; −36% until 2070 | 15% (2040); 50% (2070) | Moderate expansion scenario representing gradual land-use growth |
L5 | 550,000 | −20% until 2040; −36% until 2070 | 15% (2040); 50% (2070) | High expansion scenario reflecting intensified cotton production under future conditions |
