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Increased risk of cardiovascular diseases among patients with carpal tunnel syndrome in a multicenter global retrospective cohort study
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  • Published: 17 March 2026

Increased risk of cardiovascular diseases among patients with carpal tunnel syndrome in a multicenter global retrospective cohort study

  • Hui-Chin Chang1,2,3,
  • Shao-Wei Lo4,
  • Hsin-Yo Lu3,
  • Yung-Fang Tu5,
  • Yu-Jung Su6,
  • Shiu-Jau Chen7,8 na1 &
  • …
  • Shuo-Yan Gau9,10,11 na1 

Scientific Reports , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

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We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Cardiology
  • Diseases
  • Medical research
  • Risk factors

Abstract

Carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) is linked to cardiovascular outcomes such as cardiac amyloidosis, but prior studies with limited scope leave uncertainty about its role as an marker of other major cardiovascular diseases such as stroke and myocardial infarction. The aim of this study is to evaluate cardiovascular risks in CTS using large-scale global electronic health records. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using TriNetX Global Collaborative Network from a cohort of 619,538 patients with CTS and 8,630,919 CTS-free controls. To minimize confounding, a 1:1 propensity-score matching strategy was employed, creating two well-balanced cohorts of 615,201 patients each. We assessed the risk for a comprehensive range of acute and chronic cardiovascular events and compared the risk in CTS patients with active comparator cohorts of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and ankylosing spondylitis (AS). Following propensity matching, patients with CTS had a significantly increased risk for ischemic stroke (HR = 1.39, 95% CI, 1.35–1.44) and haemorrhagic stroke (HR = 1.34, 95% CI, 1.26–1.43) compared to controls. This excess risk extended to other cardiovascular outcomes, including acute myocardial infarction (HR = 1.58, 95% CI, 1.53–1.64), heart failure (HR = 1.51, 95% CI, 1.47–1.55), and cerebrovascular disorders (HR 1.62, 95% CI, 1.57–1.67). The strongest association was observed for cardiac amyloidosis (HR = 2.41, 95% CI, 2.07–2.80). These elevated risks were consistent across subgroups stratified by age, sex, and race. Notably, the risk of stroke in the CTS cohort was higher than in both the RA and AS cohorts. The findings remained robust in multiple sensitivity analyses. CTS is associated with increased risk of diverse cardiovascular diseases, with risks exceeding those of established inflammatory conditions such as RA and AS.

Data availability

Data in this study were retrieved from TriNetX Research Network. All data available in the database were administrated by the TriNetX platform. Detailed information can be retrieved at the official website of the research network (https://trinetx.com).

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Funding

This study was funded by Chung Shan Medical University Hospital (CSH-2025-C-007).

Author information

Author notes
  1. Shiu-Jau Chen and Shuo-Yan Gau contributed equally to this work.

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Evidence-based Medicine Center, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan

    Hui-Chin Chang

  2. Library, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan

    Hui-Chin Chang

  3. School of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan

    Hui-Chin Chang & Hsin-Yo Lu

  4. Department of Internal Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, OH, USA

    Shao-Wei Lo

  5. Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA

    Yung-Fang Tu

  6. Orthopedics Department, Chi-Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan

    Yu-Jung Su

  7. Department of Neurosurgery, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan

    Shiu-Jau Chen

  8. Department of Medicine, MacKay Medical University, New Taipei City, Taiwan

    Shiu-Jau Chen

  9. Department of Medical Education, Ditmanson Medical Foundation Chia-Yi Christian Hospital, No. 539, Zhongxiao Rd., East Dist, Chiayi City, Taiwan

    Shuo-Yan Gau

  10. Institute of Allergology, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany

    Shuo-Yan Gau

  11. Department and Graduate Institute of Business Administration, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

    Shuo-Yan Gau

Authors
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Contributions

Study conception and design: Chang HC, Lu HY, Lo SW, Tu YF, Su YJ, Chen SJ, Gau SYData acquisition: Su YJ and Gau SYData analysis and demonstration: Lu HY and Gau SYOriginal draft preparation: Chang HC, Lu HY, Lo SW, Tu YF, Su YJ, Chen SJ, Gau SY.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Shuo-Yan Gau.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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ChatGPT 5 was used for grammar improvement and paragraph editing in the manuscript.

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Cite this article

Chang, HC., Lo, SW., Lu, HY. et al. Increased risk of cardiovascular diseases among patients with carpal tunnel syndrome in a multicenter global retrospective cohort study. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-44286-x

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  • Received: 17 November 2025

  • Accepted: 10 March 2026

  • Published: 17 March 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-44286-x

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Keywords

  • Carpal tunnel syndrome
  • cardiovascular disease
  • myocardial infarction
  • heart failure
  • amyloidosis
  • cohort study
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