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Does agricultural green finance help reduce agricultural carbon emission intensity: an empirical analysis based on 30 provinces in China
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  • Published: 19 May 2026

Does agricultural green finance help reduce agricultural carbon emission intensity: an empirical analysis based on 30 provinces in China

  • Ai-hua Tong1,2,
  • Hua-wei Niu1,
  • Lili Jiang2,
  • Yanlei Xia3 &
  • …
  • Yifeng Wang2 

Scientific Reports (2026) Cite this article

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Subjects

  • Ecology
  • Environmental sciences
  • Environmental social sciences

Abstract

As the greenhouse effect and the environmental problems thus arising become increasingly prominent, great concern has been aroused for agricultural carbon emissions reduction and sustainable development. Aiming at exploring how to reduce agricultural carbon emissions from agricultural green finance perspective, this study theoretically analyzed the impact and mechanism of agricultural green finance on agricultural carbon emission intensity, and empirically examined the specific impact and the corresponding impact mechanism of agricultural green finance on agricultural carbon emission intensity. Specifically, a two-way fixed effect model was employed to conduct the study based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2022. The results show that agricultural green finance can significantly reduce agricultural carbon emission intensity, which has been verified to be valid after a series of robustness tests; and the reduction displays a heterogenous pattern. As it is, the impact of agricultural green finance is more prominent in the eastern region than in the central and western regions, and greater in non-major-grain-producing areas than in major grain-producing areas. On this basis, some policy suggestions are put forward, mainly including developing agricultural green finance, promoting agricultural and green technological innovation, and implementing differentiated agricultural green finance policies so as to reduce agricultural carbon emission intensity.

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Funding

This paper was supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities “Research on Financing Policy System and Risk Management to Promote the Deepening Development of Green Industry under the Establishment of Carbon Market“(2022ZDPYSK02).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, 221116, Jiangsu, China

    Ai-hua Tong & Hua-wei Niu

  2. School of Economics and Management, Suqian University, Suqian, 223800, Jiangsu, China

    Ai-hua Tong, Lili Jiang & Yifeng Wang

  3. School of Math and Finance, Chuzhou Collgeg, Chuzhou, 239099, Jiangsu, China

    Yanlei Xia

Authors
  1. Ai-hua Tong
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  2. Hua-wei Niu
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  3. Lili Jiang
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  4. Yanlei Xia
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  5. Yifeng Wang
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Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Hua-wei Niu, Lili Jiang, Yanlei Xia or Yifeng Wang.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Cite this article

Tong, Ah., Niu, Hw., Jiang, L. et al. Does agricultural green finance help reduce agricultural carbon emission intensity: an empirical analysis based on 30 provinces in China. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-52382-1

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  • Received: 09 October 2025

  • Accepted: 05 May 2026

  • Published: 19 May 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-52382-1

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Keywords

  • Agricultural green finance
  • Agricultural carbon emission intensity
  • Agricultural green technology
  • Dual Carbon Goals
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