Fig. 5: Predicted and observed timeseries of the AMV and the SST pattern identified via blocking (PHLB).
From: Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO
Standardized loadings for the AMV pattern26 (dashed lines) and the SST pattern, PHLB, defined via compositing on HLB in CESM-DPLE (solid lines). Red lines for observations (HadISST) and blue lines for the decadal predictions (CESM-DPLE ensemble mean). The thin, pale blue lines correspond to individual lead years (1–8), while the thick lines to LY[1–8] (8-year running averages for observations). All timeseries are computed based on autumn (SON) SST anomalies.
