Fig. 2: Skill differences between the initialized and uninitialized MMEs.
From: Seasonal-to-decadal prediction of El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation

(left) ACC and (right) MSSS differences between the initialized and uninitialized MMEs of (a) YR1 SSTA, (b) YR2 SSTA, (c) YR3–4 SSTA, and (d) YR5–9 SSTA. The cross indicates that the positive skill difference (i.e., skill improvements due to model initialization) is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. Note that the skill differences at YR5–9 in (d) are computed using only 46 initializations (see Supplementary Table 2 and Supplementary Fig. 5 for further details).