Table 1 The granger causality results between the Barents-Kara Sea (BKS) temperature and East Asia (EA) temperature in ERA-interim and HAPPI experiment.

From: Arctic-associated increased fluctuations of midlatitude winter temperature in the 1.5° and 2.0° warmer world

Granger causality

ERA-interim

HAPPI experiment

Hist

Plus1.5

Plus2.0

BKS→EA

23

2041

1928

1847

EA→BKS

13

1454

1447

1408

  1. 39 winters from 1979 to 2018 are analyzed from ERA interim and 4,500 winters (900 winters x 5 models) are analyzed from HAPPI experiment. Each number indicates the number of the year that shows a significant (p ≤ 0.05) granger cause.
Back to article page