Fig. 3: Relation between NAO-95pNoD correlation and 95pNoD trend.

Two-dimensional histograms of the NAO-95pNoD correlation (r(NAO, 95pNoD)) against 95pNoD trend, for a the 1970–2014 period, the 2050–2099 period for b SSP1–2.6 and c SSP5–8.5. The colour bar shows the percentage of models within a bin. The linear regression of r(NAO, 95pNoD) onto the 95pNoD trend is shown with a line in every subplot, and the slope of the linear regression is provided in every subplot (an asterisk is present when the linear regression is significantly different from zero, p < 0.05). ERA5 data are shown with a green circle in the historical subplot (a).