Table 1 Statistically downscaled CMIP5 multi-model average mean (and standard deviation, in brackets) projected increases in maximum and minimum temperature (°C) and annual precipitation (%) in the mid- (2022–2060) and late- (2062–2100) 21st century for the Rio Santa and Vilcanota-Urubamba regions, compared to the control period (1980–2018).
From: A future of extreme precipitation and droughts in the Peruvian Andes
Variable | Rio Santa | Vilcanota-Urubamba | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022–2060 | 2062–2100 | 2022–2060 | 2062–2100 | ||
RCP4.5 | Maximum daily temperature (°C) | 1.2 ( ± 0.3) | 1.9 ( ± 0.6) | 1.4 ( ± 0.3) | 2.2 ( ± 0.6) |
Minimum daily temperature (°C) | 1.2 ( ± 0.3) | 2.0 ( ± 0.5) | 1.3 ( ± 0.3) | 2.1 ( ± 0.6) | |
Precipitation (%) | 3.8 ( ± 3.4) | 5.8 ( ± 6.3) | 3.5 ( ± 3.9) | 5.3 ( ± 6.5) | |
25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | ||
RCP8.5 | Maximum daily temperature (°C) | 1.6 ( ± 0.4) | 3.6 ( ± 0.8) | 1.8 ( ± 0.4) | 4.1 ( ± 0.8) |
Minimum daily temperature (°C) | 1.6 ( ± 0.3) | 3.7 ( ± 0.8) | 1.7 ( ± 0.3) | 4.0 ( ± 0.8) | |
Precipitation (%) | 4.5 ( ± 5.4) | 12.1 ( ± 11.0) | 4.7 ( ± 4.8) | 12.2 ( ± 9.3) | |
26 | 27 | 28 | 28 | ||
