Fig. 7: Simulations of interannual variability and its trends by CMIP6 over CI and AI.
From: Present and future of the South Asian summer monsoon’s rainy season over Northeast India
The box averaged time series and its linear trends of anomalous a, f onset day, b, g withdrawal day, c, h LRS, d, i TISM, and e, j accumulated rainfall over CI (left panel) and AI (right panel) are shown from the ensemble mean of CMIP6 models. The 95% significance level of trends is tested with the Mann–Kendall nonparametric method. The trend with p < 0.05 is significant. Here, the +ve (−ve) anomaly of onset day means ‘delay (early)’ monsoon onset and vice versa for withdrawal day. Historical (1850–2014, blue) and Projection with SSP5–8.5 (2015–2100, red). The ‘TISM’ is computed for the summer monsoon season (i.e., days between ‘Onset’ and ‘Withdrawal’ day for a year, as defined from ΔTT).
