Fig. 4: Model uncertainty contribution to total uncertainty in the fractional contribution of hourly precipitation intensities to the total precipitation.
From: Convection-permitting climate models offer more certain extreme rainfall projections
For the summer (panel a, b) and winter (panel c, d) in the past (panel a, c) and for future changes (panel b, d) model uncertainty (MU) contribution to total uncertainty (TU) for CPM (red) and RCM (blue) bootstrapped ensemble and the mean single-model natural variability (SM-NV) contribution to the TU for CPMs (light grey) and RCMs (dark grey) and its 95th confidence interval. In numbers the mean contribution to the TU for CPMs and RCMs both in the past and future changes. In all panels the statistics are calculated when at least 50% of the models have events in the bin.
