Fig. 5: Model uncertainty contribution to total uncertainty in the precipitation event characteristics.

Model contribution to total uncertainties for RCM (panel a, b), CPM (panel c, d) and CPM‐RCM difference (panel e, f) bootstrapped ensemble for the past (panel a, c, e) and future changes (panel b, d, f) defined as future-past time slice. The model contribution to the total uncertainty is calculated for the fractional contribution of different events defined based on their peak precipitation intensity and duration in summer only when at least 50% of the models have events in that bin. An event is defined as a continuous period of precipitation exceeding 0.1 mm/h. The percentage in the plot represents the mean model contribution to the total uncertainty considering all duration and intensities with future changes significant at the 95^th level.