Fig. 3: Meridional distributions of EP and CP El Niño SST anomalies during the El Niño mature winter and associated thermocline feedback during the El Niño developing phase simulated by the historical and SSP585 runs.

a, b Meridional distributions of zonally averaged EP (CP) El Niño SST anomalies (units: °C) over 150°W-90°W (180°E-120°W) during boreal winter for the historical and SSP585 runs, respectively. The thick blue and red lines denote the multi-model ensemble mean of the historical and SSP585 runs, respectively. The light blue and red shading denotes member spread corresponding to the 25th to 75th percentiles from the historical and SSP585 runs, respectively. c, d As in (a, b), but for vertical advection of anomalous temperature by mean vertical motion (\(-\bar{w}{\partial }_{z}T^{\prime}\), units: °C month−1) during the El Niño developing phase from May to August. e Climatological thermocline depth (units: m) averaged over 2°S-2°N for the historical (blue line) and SSP585 (red line) runs, respectively.