Fig. 3: Confident forecast frequency from conceptual model.
From: Understanding spring forecast El Niño false alarms in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble
Histogram of confident forecasts for 1000 hindcast experiments and density estimate for each conceptual model configuration. Values of the individual models are shown as black vertical lines. The multi-model ensemble is the thick vertical line. These decimals here are the same as the Confident percentage column of Table 1.
