Fig. 2: Surface temperature anomalies in 2023.

Annual-mean anomalies (°C, ref. 1991–2020) in (a) ERA5, (b) CM2.1 Run 14 chosen for high spatial correlation with observations in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere14, (c) CESM2 and (d) CM2.1 ensemble means. The TP SST-restoring region is marked by dashed lines in (b–d).