Fig. 6: Future projections of strong Eurasian cooling episodes.
From: Atmospheric circulation regimes modulating Eurasian winter decadal cooling
EX components of JF SATEurasia anomalies (right coordinate; relative to 2015–2025 mean; low-pass filtered; solid lines) in three CMIP6 scenarios of SSP245 (yellow), SSP370 (orange), SSP585 (red), as well as in SSP370-fixed LENS2 (gray) from 2015 to 2099. Light shadings in corresponding colors denote the inter-member spread of ± one standard deviation (29 members from 16 CMIP6 models, Supplementary Table 2; 100 members from LENS2). Reduction rate of strong Eurasian cooling (left coordinate; bars), defined as the fraction of IV-driven strong IV cooling episodes (i.e., <–1.5 °C decade–1) that become weaker than –1.5 °C decade–1 due to EX Eurasian warming in the near future (2025–2049), mid-term future (2050–2074), and far future (2075–2099) under corresponding scenarios.
