Table 2 Comparative of AUC between BN-logistic and traditional Bayesian Network parameter learning (i.e., Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Bayesian estimation)
BN-logistic (95%CI) | MLE (95%CI) | P-value | Bayes estimation (95%CI) | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Internal validation set | 0.866 (0.857–0.875) | 0.853 (0.843–0.863) | < 0.01* | 0.854 (0.844-0.864) | < 0.01* |
Time-external validation set | 0.848 (0.844-0.852) | 0.824 (0.819-0.828) | < 0.01* | 0.825 (0.820-0.829) | < 0.01* |
Geographic-external validation set | 0.841 (0.827-0.855) | 0.813 (0.796-0.830) | < 0.01* | 0.815 (0.799-0.832) | < 0.01* |