Fig. 2: Performance trajectory curves for the binary hospital outcomes reported with 95% confidence intervals across the five prediction timepoints.

A Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve. B Precision-recall area under the curve indicated by the straight coloured lines, along with the change in outcome prevalence due to patient exclusion over time, marked by dashed lines and triangle points. C Proportion of patients with the health outcome over time. D Patient response rate after risk stratification, measuring the % of correctly captured individuals at the 10th decile of risk with the respective hospital outcome.