Fig. 4: Average projected change in frequency of the earliest 10% (decile one) and latest 10% (decile 10) of leaf out phenology across three genetic provenances of P. angustifolia relative to the total landscape with at least a richness value of 1 (i.e., excluding unsuitable area) across genetic provenances.

Empty symbols and dotted lines represent climate norms or starting conditions and filled symbols represent frequencies at each time averaged across AOGCMs. Circles represent decile 1 and triangles represent decile 10. Lighter shades represent RCP 4.5 and darker shades represent RCP 8.5.