Fig. 4: Attribution of projected changes in joint return periods to changes in precipitation, meteorological tides, and their dependence.
From: More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change
a Ensemble median projected change (%) of joint return periods (or inverse probability) between future (2070–2099) and baseline (1970–2004) when only taking into account the projected changes in precipitation (ΔTprec.). b Coastline fraction per 5o of latitude (smoothing spline) with a robust negative change (red dotted line), robust positive change (blue dashed line), and high model disagreement (magenta solid line). c–f Similar results as a and b, but for joint return period changes when only taking into account the projected changes in the meteorological tide (ΔTmet. tide) in c-d, and in the dependence between meteorological tide and precipitation (ΔTdep.) in e-f.
