Fig. 3: As Fig. 2, but here for a 3C-warming scenario. Maps of the Probability Ratio (PR) for monthly extreme events exceeding the 98th percentile in a 3C-warming scenario relative to the present-day climate.

For a high-temperature events and b heavy-precipitation events; shown are from left-to-right the total PR, PR due to the change in mean climate and PR due to the change in climate variability.