Fig. 7: As Fig. 4, but here based on the US CLIVAR multi-model large ensemble. Shown are PR values for the end-of-century (EOC, 2070-2099) relative to 1950-1979 under the RCP8.5 emission scenario. | Communications Earth & Environment

Fig. 7: As Fig. 4, but here based on the US CLIVAR multi-model large ensemble. Shown are PR values for the end-of-century (EOC, 2070-2099) relative to 1950-1979 under the RCP8.5 emission scenario.

From: Contribution of climatic changes in mean and variability to monthly temperature and precipitation extremes

Fig. 7

Coloured bars show the multi-model-mean (models included: CanESM2, CESM1, CSIRO-Mk3.6, EC-Earth, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2M), vertical black lines indicate the inter-model range of the PR-values, lines are plotted thicker if there is intermodel disagreement in the sign of change. For a high-temperature events, b heavy-precipitation events. Red bars show the total PR, blue bars the PR due to the changes in mean climate and yellow bars the PR related to changes in climate variability. Values of the vertical axis are shown in the global subplot. The two highlighted regions are investigated in more depth in Fig. 9.

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