Fig. 1: Modeling climate change impacts on conservation planning units using spatial climate analogs.
From: Protected-area targets could be undermined by climate change-driven shifts in ecoregions and biomes
Under current conditions (a), reverse analogs (sites that have climates that are similar to those projected in the future for a focal cell) were identified within a fixed search radius (dotted line) (adapted from ref. 83). Reverse analogs were then used in conjunction with a map of terrestrial ecoregions (b) to project potential changes in ecoregions and biomes. In this study we assess compositional changes at focal sites based on a plurality vote from 100 analog sites (c).
